vg|14th Red Bull WBS-Mixed Teams-BBO2,SFA 3_8,I,15,21,SALVO,0,RIVERS,0| rs|3SS=,4SS-1,3DN+2,4HN=,4HN-2,4HN-2,3NS-1,4SN+1,3NN=,3NS-1,4SN=,3NN+1,4HE+1,4HE+1| pn|MICHIELSEN,L STANSBY,ZIA,J STANSBY,RIVERS,ZORLU,CAPPELLETT,SINCLAIR|pg|| qx|o15|st||md|1SJT983HAJ86DA7CAT,S6HT53DQJ95CK9854,SKQ75HQ97DT83CQ73,SA42HK42DK642CJ62|sv|n|mb|1S|mb|p|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|p|nt|TopWizard: Welcome! Stars in place|pg|| mb|2N|mb|d|mb|3D|nt|TopWizard: Lew Stansby refuses to sell out to 2M|pg|| mb|p|mb|p|mb|3S|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|nt|TopWizard: +140 likely, but the defense must be careful|pg|| pc|dQ|pc|d3|pc|d2|pc|d7|pg|| pc|dJ|pc|d8|pc|d6|pc|dA|pg|| pc|s8|pc|s6|nt|toukie: Some familiar names playing this time!|pg|| pc|sK|pc|s4|pg|| pc|dT|pc|dK|pc|sJ|pc|d5|pg|| pc|s9|pc|c5|pc|s5|pc|sA|pg|| pc|s2|pc|s3|pc|d9|pc|s7|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Yes, David, looking for the names in Closed Room still, Meckstroth, Cappelletti likely|pg|| pc|hQ|pc|hK|pc|hA|pc|h3|pg|| nt|ahollan1: currently Salvo in 3rd place a full 00.16 VPs ahead of Rivers|pg|| pc|cA|pc|c8|pc|c3|pc|c2|pg|| pc|cT|pc|cK|pc|c7|nt|kit: hi everybody|pg|| pc|c6|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Hello Kit|pg|| nt|kit: hi Gary|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Stansby will exit a @c|pg|| mc|9|pg|| qx|c15|st||md|1SJT983HAJ86DA7CAT,S6HT53DQJ95CK9854,SKQ75HQ97DT83CQ73,SA42HK42DK642CJ62|sv|n|nt|TopWizard: Operator, new names please :)|pg|| mb|1S|mb|p|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|3H|mb|p|mb|4S|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|dQ|pc|d3|pc|d2|pc|dA|pg|| pc|sJ|pc|s6|pc|s5|pc|s2|pg|| pc|sT|pc|c4|nt|vugraphzbg: i lost play i will claim at the end|pg|| pc|s7|pc|sA|pg|| mc|9|pg|| qx|o16|st||md|2SA862HAJ83D43CAKT,SKQT975H76DKJ9C76,SJHQT92DQT852C432,S43HK54DA76CQJ985|sv|e|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|p|nt|kit: Normal weak 2-- will make it difficult for N-S to get to hearts|pg|| nt|TopWizard: A sound weak 2, rare beast these days, eh Kit :)|pg|| mb|2N|nt|kit: South has likely 2NT balance, and it would be risky for North to do anything|pg|| mb|p|nt|kit: It isn't Lew's fault that is what he is dealt|pg|| mb|3C!|mb|d|nt|TopWizard: Zia indeed come up with a bid, sensing trouble|pg|| nt|kit: Don't know if this is Stayman or relay to 3@D|pg|| mb|p|mb|p|mb|3D|mb|p|mb|p|nt|kit: and don't know if the pass over the double means anything|pg|| mb|p|pc|s4|nt|kit: Zia judged very well to get out of notrump|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Zia-Marion, from yesterday, seem to have a basic Convention Card|pg|| pc|sA|pc|s5|pc|sJ|pg|| pc|d4|nt|toukie: Marion Michielsen came up through the Dutch Juniors, and is now a regular in the Dutch Women's team.|pg|| pc|d9|pc|dT|pc|d6|pg|| pc|hQ|pc|hK|nt|kit: This should make comfortably with king of hearts onside -- even if he loses 3 trump tricks|pg|| pc|hA|pc|h6|pg|| pc|d3|pc|dJ|pc|dQ|pc|dA|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Zia tends to play a relatively straightforward methods|pg|| nt|kit: Actually N-S may have been on unsure ground -- if Zia meant 3@C as Stayman, Marion should have bid 3@H|pg|| pc|s3|pc|s2|pc|sQ|pc|d2|pg|| pc|d5|pc|d7|pc|s6|pc|dK|pg|| nt|kit: Zia trusting that Lew didn't start with KJ7x of diamonds and play the jack on the second round -- greedy|pg|| pc|sK|pc|d8|pc|c5|pc|s8|pg|| pc|c2|pc|cQ|pc|cK|pc|c6|pg|| pc|hJ|pc|h7|pc|h2|pc|h5|pg|| pc|h8|pc|c7|pc|hT|pc|h4|pg|| pc|h9|pc|c8|pc|h3|nt|kit: and will now emerge with 11 tricks|pg|| pc|s7|pg|| pc|c3|pc|c9|pc|cT|pc|s9|pg|| pc|cA|pc|sT|pc|c4|pc|cJ|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Zia has played many hands and usually "knows" the table situation|pg|| pg|| qx|c16|st||md|2SA862HAJ83D43CAKT,SKQT975H76DKJ9C76,SJHQT92DQT852C432,S43HK54DA76CQJ985|sv|e|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|p|mb|d|mb|p|mb|3H|mb|3S|mb|4H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|s4|pc|sA|pc|sK|pc|sJ|pg|| pc|d3|pc|d9|pc|dT|pc|dA|pg|| pc|s3|pc|s2|pc|sQ|pc|h2|pg|| pc|hQ|pc|h5|pc|h3|pc|h6|pg|| pc|c4|pc|cQ|pc|cA|pc|c7|pg|| pc|d4|pc|dK|pc|d2|pc|d6|pg|| pc|sT|pc|h9|pc|hK|pc|s6|pg|| mc|10|pg|| qx|o17|st||md|3SJT643HK32DK8CAJ5,SAH6DQJT76543CKT6,SQ75HA9754DA9CQ97,SK982HQJT8D2C8432|sv|o|nt|TopWizard: A real "magician" at the table, as +150 shows|pg|| mb|1H|mb|p|mb|1S|nt|kit: how many diamonds will Lew bid?|pg|| nt|kit: I'm guessing 4|pg|| nt|toukie: I'l lgo with 4 too|pg|| mb|4D|mb|p|mb|p|nt|kit: South will have to double, and then Zia will ??|pg|| nt|kit: Actually, South can bid 4@H -- forgot 1@H opening|pg|| nt|TopWizard: But will Marion sense bad splits?|pg|| mb|4H|nt|kit: she can't even be that sure that she can beat 4@D|pg|| mb|p|nt|TopWizard: And go for the money|pg|| nt|kit: and surely she isn't passing|pg|| mb|p|mb|p|nt|toukie: Biddng 4H, but without a huge amout of confidence.|pg|| pc|d2|nt|TopWizard: In a team game, as Kit infers, best to do what other table is likely doing if in any doubt|pg|| nt|kit: From Zia's point of view, he needs 3-2 hearts and then the spades to run to get rid of any losing clubs|pg|| pc|d8|pc|dJ|pc|dA|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Zia knows now that @ds are 8-1|pg|| pc|hA|pc|h8|nt|toukie: Defending works best, because partner has the @DA, but on another day it's over your king,|pg|| pc|h2|pc|h6|pg|| nt|TopWizard: @d2 had to be singleton|pg|| pc|h9|pc|hT|pc|hK|pc|d6|pg|| pc|s3|pc|sA|pc|s5|pc|s2|pg|| pc|d3|pc|d9|nt|kit: The spades will run in time, so he will be down 1.|pg|| nt|TopWizard: And a @c shift coming from East - Joanna Stansby|pg|| nt|kit: No --forgot East can ruff this and lead a club|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Probably down 2 then|pg|| nt|ahollan1: identical auction in other room|pg|| pc|hJ|pc|dK|pg|| pc|c8|pc|c5|pc|cK|pc|c7|pg|| mc|8|pg|| qx|c17|st||md|3SJT643HK32DK8CAJ5,SAH6DQJT76543CKT6,SQ75HA9754DA9CQ97,SK982HQJT8D2C8432|sv|o|mb|1H|mb|p|mb|1S|mb|4D|mb|p|mb|p|mb|4H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|d2|pc|d8|pc|dT|pc|dA|pg|| pc|h5|pc|h8|pc|hK|pc|h6|pg|| pc|h2|pc|d3|pc|hA|pc|hT|pg|| pc|s5|pc|s2|pc|sJ|pc|sA|pg|| pc|d4|pc|d9|pc|hJ|pc|dK|pg|| pc|hQ|pc|h3|pc|d5|pc|h4|pg|| pc|c3|pc|c5|pc|cK|pc|c7|pg|| mc|8|pg|| qx|o18|st||md|4SK7HKQ64DK54CK842,ST2HT932D87CAT973,SAQ985HAJ8DJT932C,SJ643H75DAQ6CQJ65|sv|n|mb|p|mb|1C|mb|p|mb|1S|mb|p|nt|TopWizard: We'll see, now see 15-17 1NT by N-S|pg|| mb|1N|mb|p|nt|kit: Will need to get to 4 of a major, avoid 3NT|pg|| mb|3D|an|5,5,fg|nt|kit: Although 4@S may have control problems on club lead|pg|| mb|p|nt|toukie: Cappeletti rebid 4@S in the other room after same start.|pg|| nt|kit: 5@D is the most secure game In think|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Board 16 surprising - S doubled the 2@s opener, then raised partner's 3@c call to 4@h for a big pickup|pg|| mb|3N|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|nt|TopWizard: Partners 3@h call :)|pg|| nt|kit: this is very quesitonable 3NT call -- probably better to hedge with 3@H|pg|| pc|c3|nt|kit: And with spades not splitting, only 8 tricks -- and hard to see how the defense can make an error|pg|| pc|d2|pc|cJ|pc|cK|pg|| pc|h4|pc|h9|pc|hA|pc|h7|pg|| pc|hJ|pc|h5|pc|h6|pc|h2|pg|| pc|h8|nt|toukie: A heart was led against 4@S at the other table so declarer not under any pressure.|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Other table had a simple auction - Cappelletti simply bid 4@s :)|pg|| pc|c5|pc|hQ|pc|h3|pg|| pc|hK|pc|hT|pc|s5|pc|d6|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Marion slyly pitching a @s, but Stansbys won't be fooled|pg|| pc|sK|pc|s2|pc|s8|pc|s3|pg|| pc|s7|pc|sT|pc|sA|pc|s4|pg|| nt|toukie: Hoping for something good to happen in spades, but not today.|pg|| pc|dJ|pc|dA|pc|d4|pc|d7|pg|| pc|cQ|pc|c2|pc|cA|pc|d3|pg|| pc|cT|pc|s9|pc|c6|pc|c4|pg|| pc|c9|pc|d9|pc|s6|pc|c8|pg|| nt|toukie: Strange. Now she is cut off from the @SQ|pg|| pc|c7|pc|dT|pc|sJ|pc|d5|pg|| pc|d8|pc|sQ|pc|dQ|pc|dK|pg|| nt|TopWizard: But got the @dK|pg|| pg|| qx|c18|st||md|4SK7HKQ64DK54CK842,ST2HT932D87CAT973,SAQ985HAJ8DJT932C,SJ643H75DAQ6CQJ65|sv|n|mb|p|mb|1C|mb|p|mb|1S|mb|p|mb|1N|mb|p|mb|4S|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|h7|pc|hK|pc|h2|pc|h8|pg|| pc|sK|pc|s2|pc|s5|pc|s3|pg|| pc|s7|pc|sT|pc|sA|pc|s4|pg|| pc|sQ|pc|s6|pc|c2|pc|c3|pg|| pc|d9|pc|dA|pc|d4|pc|d7|pg|| pc|cQ|pc|c4|pc|c9|pc|s8|pg|| pc|dJ|pc|dQ|pc|dK|pc|d8|pg|| pc|d5|pc|c7|pc|dT|pc|d6|pg|| pc|d3|pc|sJ|pc|c8|pc|h3|pg|| mc|11|pg|| qx|o19|st||md|1SKJ72H4DAKT6CT953,SQ8HKQ3DJ98432CAJ,SA93HAT962DQ5CK82,ST654HJ875D7CQ764|sv|e|nt|TopWizard: A large Rivers swing|pg|| mb|1D|mb|p|mb|1H|mb|p|nt|kit: Likely 3NT here|pg|| mb|1S|an|tr|nt|kit: which will be touch and go|pg|| mb|p|nt|ahollan1: i wish NS would stop bidding -- still trying to find out if Stansbys are playing a Big Club system|pg|| nt|kit: they are|pg|| mb|2C|mb|p|mb|3C|mb|p|nt|kit: Now 3NT by Zia clear|pg|| mb|3N|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|nt|kit: very difficult opening lead -- I think heart makes most sense|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Though some case could be made for any suit but @d's|pg|| nt|kit: why eliminate diamonds?|pg|| nt|kit: I would lead a diamond ahead of either black suit|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Even that could make sense, I agree|pg|| pc|d7|nt|kit: with dummy presumabley 4-1-4-4, either black suit is very dangerous|pg|| nt|TopWizard: There you go Kit :)|pg|| nt|ahollan1: would Michelsen bid differently with 4054?|pg|| nt|kit: I don't think this will make, and the natural play appears to be to take a spade finesse|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Yes, but any chance, when seeing 6-1 @d's and no @s lead, Zia divines the @s position?|pg|| pc|d6|pc|d4|pc|dQ|pg|| nt|kit: but Zia has to play something himself -- and I think that something will be a spade|pg|| pc|s3|pc|s4|pc|sJ|pc|sQ|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Done immediately|pg|| nt|toukie: At the other table it went off even after a @D lead round to the 10.|pg|| nt|kit: King of hearts shift seems normal|pg|| pc|hK|pc|h2|nt|kit: Some hope for declarer if Lew continues with queen of hearts|pg|| nt|TopWizard: @hQ may allow this to make|pg|| pc|h5|pc|h4|pg|| pc|hQ|pc|hA|pc|h7|pc|c3|pg|| pc|hT|pc|hJ|pc|c5|pc|h3|pg|| nt|kit: Joanna would have done better to discourage in hearts|pg|| pc|h8|pc|c9|pc|d3|pc|h9|pg|| pc|sA|pc|s5|pc|s2|pc|s8|pg|| pc|h6|pc|c7|nt|kit: Still a little tricky though|pg|| pc|cT|pc|d2|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Key here was who had the @h9|pg|| pc|s9|pc|s6|nt|TopWizard: I think Joanna would have led a @h with @hJ9xx|pg|| nt|kit: This would be a tough one to guess right|pg|| nt|toukie: Can still make even if she rises with the ace.|pg|| nt|toukie: sorry wrong|pg|| nt|kit: If he guesses wrong, things get very interesting|pg|| nt|toukie: no club in hand to plau up|pg|| nt|bebechira: i changed Zia name on BBO :)|pg|| nt|kit: No, guess he can't make if he gets in wrong|pg|| pc|s7|nt|kit: key is what is going on in diamond suit -- note that Lew played low on 7 of diamonds lead -- that may be the key clue|pg|| nt|kit: nice!|pg|| mc|9|nt|TopWizard: Wow, magician is right . . . |pg|| nt|toukie: Magician at work|pg|| pg|| qx|c19|st||md|1SKJ72H4DAKT6CT953,SQ8HKQ3DJ98432CAJ,SA93HAT962DQ5CK82,ST654HJ875D7CQ764|sv|e|mb|p|mb|1D|mb|1H|mb|p|mb|1S|mb|p|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|2N|mb|p|mb|3N|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|d9|pc|d5|pc|d7|pc|dT|pg|| pc|d6|pc|d3|pc|dQ|pc|s6|pg|| pc|sA|pc|s4|pc|s2|pc|s8|pg|| pc|s9|pc|s5|pc|sJ|pc|sQ|pg|| pc|hK|pc|hA|pc|h5|pc|h4|pg|| pc|s3|pc|sT|pc|sK|pc|d8|pg|| pc|s7|pc|cJ|pc|h2|pc|c7|pg|| pc|c3|pc|cA|pc|c2|pc|c4|pg|| pc|hQ|pc|h6|pc|h7|pc|c5|pg|| pc|h3|pc|h9|pc|hJ|pc|c9|pg|| mc|8|pg|| qx|o20|st||md|2SK82HQJ75DK2CKJ76,SQ765H943D9874CT5,SAJT43HA6DA53C832,S9HKT82DQJT6CAQ94|sv|b|mb|p|mb|1S|mb|d|nt|kit: Zia worked out from the play at trick 1 what the diamond positin was. Lew would have done better to discard 8 of diamonds at some point and keep a small diamond|pg|| mb|r|nt|TopWizard: Agree with that Kit|pg|| nt|ahollan1: Group A [top 27 advance to KO]|pg|| nt|ahollan1: http://www.worldbridge.org/repository/tourn/sanya.14/microsite/RunningScores/Asp/RoundTeamsConditStatClassicMod.asp?qtournid=1060&qshowflag=1|pg|| mb|2D|nt|kit: Follows the principle of showing the card you are known to hold|pg|| mb|p|mb|p|nt|ahollan1: Group B [top 5 advance]|pg|| nt|ahollan1: http://www.worldbridge.org/repository/tourn/sanya.14/microsite/RunningScores/Asp/RoundTeamsConditStatClassicMod.asp?qtournid=1061&qshowflag=1|pg|| mb|4S|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|nt|TopWizard: This hand will pose no real problem on the layout|pg|| nt|kit: That isn't totally clear -- he can't ruff a diamond and pick up the spade suit|pg|| nt|toukie: The Knockout stages will be seeded according to World Master points, with some adjustment for position in the swiss,|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Kit, can probably set up @h's for @d discard|pg|| nt|kit: Although I agree that he should make it|pg|| pc|dQ|pc|dK|pc|d4|pc|d3|pg|| nt|ahollan1: rosters [and other stuff] http://livebridge.net/bbo/wbf/2014sanya.php?dsp=tms|pg|| pc|d2|pc|d7|pc|dA|pc|d6|pg|| pc|d5|pc|dT|nt|TopWizard: Hmmmm|pg|| pc|s2|pc|d8|pg|| pc|sK|pc|s6|pc|s3|pc|s9|pg|| pc|s8|pc|s5|pc|sA|pc|h2|pg|| nt|kit: This is the problem I anticipated|pg|| pc|sJ|nt|TopWizard: Doesn't want to be in dummy|pg|| pc|c4|pc|c6|pc|sQ|pg|| nt|TopWizard: Now @hA and @h|pg|| pc|d9|pc|s4|pc|dJ|pc|h5|pg|| pc|sT|pc|h8|nt|kit: but what does dummy discard?|pg|| pc|h7|pc|s7|pg|| pc|c3|pc|cA|nt|kit: he has to play for clubs onside, and they are|pg|| pc|c7|pc|c5|pg|| pc|c9|pc|cK|pc|cT|pc|c2|pg|| pc|cJ|pc|h3|pc|c8|pc|cQ|pg|| nt|TopWizard: K and a @c|pg|| mc|10|nt|TopWizard: Just in case doubleon @cQ offside|pg|| pg|| qx|c20|st||md|2SK82HQJ75DK2CKJ76,SQ765H943D9874CT5,SAJT43HA6DA53C832,S9HKT82DQJT6CAQ94|sv|b|mb|p|mb|1N|mb|p|mb|2C|mb|p|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|3N|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|dQ|pc|d2|pc|d9|pc|d5|pg|| pc|d6|pc|dK|pc|d4|pc|d3|pg|| pc|s8|pc|s6|pc|sJ|pc|s9|pg|| pc|hA|pc|h2|pc|h5|pc|h3|pg|| pc|h6|pc|h8|pc|hJ|pc|h4|pg|| pc|sK|pc|s5|pc|s3|pc|c4|pg|| pc|s2|pc|s7|pc|sT|pc|hT|pg|| pc|sA|pc|c9|pc|c6|pc|sQ|pg|| pc|s4|pc|cQ|pc|c7|pc|h9|pg|| pc|c2|pc|cA|pc|cJ|pc|c5|pg|| pc|dJ|pc|h7|pc|d7|pc|dA|pg|| mc|10|pg|| qx|o21|st||md|3SAT8762HT4DT3C972,SJHK972DK954CAT53,SK95H63DA82CKQJ64,SQ43HAQJ85DQJ76C8|sv|n|mb|1C|mb|1H|mb|d!|nt|kit: Looks like we finish with a very dull 4@H making easily|pg|| nt|TopWizard: If S bid 1@s here it would deny 4+ @s's|pg|| mb|2N!|mb|p|mb|4H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|nt|ahollan1: when Lew plays with Bart Bramley 2N = 4-fit, Limit Raise|pg|| pc|c7|pc|cA|pc|c6|pc|c8|pg|| pc|h2|pc|h3|pc|hA|pc|hT|pg|| pc|h8|pc|h4|pc|h9|pc|h6|pg|| pc|d4|pc|dA|pc|d7|pc|d3|pg|| mc|11|nt|TopWizard: A small win for Rivers, see you for next round|pg|| pg|| qx|c21|st||md|3SAT8762HT4DT3C972,SJHK972DK954CAT53,SK95H63DA82CKQJ64,SQ43HAQJ85DQJ76C8|sv|n|mb|1N|mb|2D|mb|2S|mb|d|mb|p|mb|3H|mb|p|mb|4H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|dT|pc|d4|pc|dA|pc|d7|pg|| pc|cK|pc|c8|pc|c2|pc|cA|pg|| pc|h2|pc|h3|pc|hA|pc|h4|pg|| pc|h5|pc|hT|pc|hK|pc|h6|pg|| mc|11|pg||